Philip Saunders Associates - Economic and Financial Analysis

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Marketability Discounts and Risk in Transactions  
Prior to Initial Public Offerings

TABLE 3

SUMMARY OF REGRESSIONS OF DISCOUNT ON TIME AND EQUITY/MARKET CAPITALIZATION

Correlations with theoretically correct sign and statistical significance at the five percent level or better.

Sample Period

Number of
Observations

Intercept

Time Variable
Parameter

Equity/
Mkt. Cap.
Variable
Parameter

Regression
Statistics

1987-89

26

Parameter

0.242

0.00192

R-squared

0.172

Std. error

0.101

0.00086

Adj. R-sq.

0.138

t-value

2.40

2.23

Std. error

0.203

1990-92

34

Parameter

0.182

0.00250

R-squared

0.227

Std. error

0.081

0.00082

Adj. R-sq.

0.203

t-value

2.24

3.07

Std. error

0.201

1992-93

52

Parameter

0.264

0.00203

R-squared

0.134

Std. error

0.073

0.00073

Adj. R-sq.

0.117

t-value

3.60

2.79

Std. error

0.200

1994-95

44

Parameter

0.240

0.00196

R-squared

0.113

Std. error

0.096

0.00085

Adj. R-sq.

0.091

t-value

2.50

2.31

Std. error

0.173

1995-97

89

Parameter

0.293

0.00134

R-squared

0.082

Std. error

0.053

0.00048

Adj. R-sq.

0.071

t-value

5.54

2.78

Std. error

0.180

89

Parameter

0.305

0.00146

-0.313

R-squared

0.162

Std. error

0.051

0.00046

0.109

Adj. R-sq.

0.142

t-value

5.99

3.15

-2.87

Std. error

0.173

All (1980-97)

302

Parameter

0.292

0.00158

R-squared

0.092

Std. error

0.030

0.00028

Adj. R-sq.

0.089

t-value

9.68

5.53

Std. error

0.197

All Sales (1980-97)

67

Parameter

0.386

0.00114

R-squared

0.047

Std. error

0.071

0.00064

Adj. R-sq.

0.032

t-value

5.44

1.79

Std. error

0.191

Sales 1995-97

22

Parameter

0.578

-0.481

R-squared

0.234

Std. error

0.040

0.194

Adj. R-sq.

0.196

t-value

14.49

-2.47

Std. error

0.175

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